Let's dive straight into the top stories from this past week...
Wall Street Strategists Expect Further Stock Market Pain
Following an extended downturn over the last several weeks, the U.S. stock market attempted a rebound after a three day hiatus. However, not everyone on Wall Street is calling this the end of the bear market. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs strategists predict that the real bottom may be much lower than many expect. Most bears point to a "1970s-style inflation shock", that could result in indexes falling 30% below their current levels. A large number of investors have only priced in a mild recession, leaving a chance for many to be caught off guard by a larger decline.
“The bear market will not be over until recession arrives or the risk of one is extinguished"
Across major cities around the U.S., luxury real estate markets are beginning to cool off after a vigorous two-year run. In particular, agents operating out of New York City, Los Angeles and the Hamptons have noted that the surge attributed to the "pandemic remote work shift" has finally subdued, resulting in more patient buyers. According to a Redfin report the top 5% of market sales declined 18% year-over-year, the largest decline since the pandemic began. Many owners are rushing to sell their properties in an attempt to catch the tail end of the hot market, not knowing what the future holds. In particular, cities that witnessed the largest declines were Nassau County (NY), Oakland (CA), Dallas (TX), Austin (TX) and West Palm Beach (FL).
ProShares Introduces a First of its Kind, Short-Bitcoin ETF
After years of speculation and interest, ProShares has announced that it is launching the industry's first inverse Bitcoin Strategy ETF ($BITI). ProShares has provided investors the opportunity to capitalize on Bitcoin's growth via their ETF $BITO, which was launched shortly after the cryptocurrency's latest surge. Their newest fund aims to track the inverse performance of Bitcoin Futures, allowing investors to gain from drawdowns in the world's largest cryptocurrency. However, the $BITI announcement comes on the heels of a massive Bitcoin draw down that saw the currency's value drop to levels not seen since December 2020. The ETF charges an expense ratio of 0.95%, higher than most actively managed funds.
“We think there are many investors who have bearish short-term or long-term view of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in general who haven’t acted on their view because it was too difficult or expensive"
Sanctuary Wealth has announced that it has finished production on its new alternative investment platform, designed to bolster their digital servicing capabilities. The new platform is built with the help of software company, +Subscribe, offering a number of features that streamline workflow and increase efficiency. In particular, this new platform allows for Sanctuary to scale their in-house manager selection process across private equity, private credit and real estate. Prior to Sanctuary's platform, hybrid RIAs were forced to outsource or use third-party vendors for alternative asset access.
BNY Executives Believe there Looms a Family Office Talent Gap
According to a recent Financial Advisor report, family offices may face a difficult transition as the largest wealth transfer in history approaches. As high-net-worth families are preparing to pass on their assets to their heirs, experts anticipate a shortage of financial advisors capable of handling the workload. What the survey revealed is that a large number of family offices faced planning challenges, a lack of expertise and difficulty finding trusted advice. The BNY Mellon Wealth Management survey had this to say about family office preparedness:
“According to the survey, 42% of family offices said they need external help in developing an effective succession plan, and more than a third said it is difficult to find a trusted external partner to help with succession planning. Sixty percent said it is a challenge to recruit well-qualified executives"
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